Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers for High-impact Chronic Pain: Development and Validation
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ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04994249 |
Recruitment Status :
Recruiting
First Posted : August 6, 2021
Last Update Posted : March 31, 2022
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Condition or disease |
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Chronic Musculoskeletal Pain Pain Pain, Chronic Joint Pain |
Our overall goal is to discover and validate diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for musculoskeletal high-impact chronic pain. Chronic pain represents a public health crisis that affects 50-100 million Americans and costs over $500 billion dollars annually. Chronic musculoskeletal pain conditions comprise 70-80% of all chronic pain. The highest-need and most impacted patients are those with high-impact chronic pain (affecting ~20 million Americans), or pain associated with substantially restricted work, social, and self-care activities for six or more months. Chronic pain-and high-impact chronic pain in particular-is often treated with prescription opioids, and is linked to opioid-use disorder. Multidisciplinary chronic pain treatments show incomplete recovery at the population level. However, subgroups of individuals completely respond, do not change, or even worsen following pain management. Thus, robust and validated diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers are needed to identify those with high-impact chronic pain and determine the trajectory of outcome (i.e., recovery versus persistence), respectively. Such biomarkers are essential to develop safer, more effective patient-specific treatment strategies, particularly for those who are refractory to current treatment options.
Many factors have been shown to be (1) diagnostic for the severity and impact of chronic pain or (2) prognostic of the trajectory of chronic pain, including those that are related to the central nervous system (CNS; structure, function), psychosocial (e.g., anxiety, catastrophizing, social isolation), sensory (e.g., temporal summation, conditioned pain modulation),1functional (e.g., accelerometry), multiomic (e.g., immune, microbiome), and demographic. However, these studies are limited by (1) association rather than predictive validity; (2) small sample sizes; (3) homogenous populations limiting external validity; and (4) single modality factors. As chronic pain is a biopsychosocial condition, we need to measure broadly across these multiple dimensions; the most valuable insights will be gained by understanding not only individual pieces of data, but the relationships among them. Recognizing the critical need for rapid, valid, and clinically useful breakthroughs in signature discovery for risk- and treatment-stratification and novel therapeutic targets for chronic pain, as called for in the HEAL initiative, we aim to discover reliable, validated diagnostic and prognostic biomarker signatures of musculoskeletal high-impact chronic pain by integrating CNS, multiomic, sensory, functional, psychosocial, and demographic domains.
Study Type : | Observational |
Estimated Enrollment : | 250 participants |
Observational Model: | Cohort |
Time Perspective: | Prospective |
Official Title: | Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers for High-impact Chronic Pain: Development and Validation |
Actual Study Start Date : | March 21, 2022 |
Estimated Primary Completion Date : | August 31, 2024 |
Estimated Study Completion Date : | August 31, 2024 |

- Pain Interference: [ Time Frame: 6 months after baseline assessment ]Pain Interference using Patient-Reported Outcome Measurement Information System (PROMIS)-Pain Interference on a T score (mean: 50; standard deviation: 10) and Graded Chronic Pain Scale (GCPS)
Biospecimen Retention: Samples With DNA

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Ages Eligible for Study: | 18 Years to 80 Years (Adult, Older Adult) |
Sexes Eligible for Study: | All |
Accepts Healthy Volunteers: | No |
Sampling Method: | Non-Probability Sample |
Inclusion Criteria:
- 1) Inclusion criteria: Adults (18-80 years; ~64% female expected based on clinic distribution) with chronic MSP as categorized by the World Health Organization (WHO).
Exclusion Criteria:
- 1) Chronic musculoskeletal pain (MSP) explained by inflammatory disease (e.g., rheumatoid arthritis, lupus) or CP with a primary diagnosis other than chronic MSP (e.g., neuropathic pain), (2) significant cognitive impairment, (3) MRI contraindication, (4) medical or psychiatric problems interfering with the study, (5) current medicolegal factors (e.g., open disability claim), (6) plans for surgery during the study, (7) pregnancy and (8) Children under the age of 18 will not be included in the study.

To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the contact information provided by the sponsor.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT number): NCT04994249
Contact: Anne Cunniffe Marcy, MSBH | 6507216931 | acmarcy@stanford.edu |
United States, California | |
Stanford University | Recruiting |
Palo Alto, California, United States, 94304 | |
Contact: Anne Cunniffe Marcy, MSBH 650-721-6931 acmarcy@stanford.edu | |
Principal Investigator: Sean Mackey, MD, PhD |
Principal Investigator: | Sean Mackey, MD, PhD. | Stanford University |
Responsible Party: | Sean Mackey, Chief, Division of Pain Medicine Director, Stanford Systems Neuroscience and Pain Lab, Stanford University |
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: | NCT04994249 |
Other Study ID Numbers: |
60657 1R61NS118651-01A1 ( U.S. NIH Grant/Contract ) |
First Posted: | August 6, 2021 Key Record Dates |
Last Update Posted: | March 31, 2022 |
Last Verified: | March 2022 |
Individual Participant Data (IPD) Sharing Statement: | |
Plan to Share IPD: | Undecided |
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Drug Product: | No |
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Device Product: | No |
Pain |
Musculoskeletal Pain Arthralgia Chronic Pain Pain |
Neurologic Manifestations Muscular Diseases Musculoskeletal Diseases Joint Diseases |