Title: High-Dose Simvastatin for Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Haemorrhage (HDS-SAH): A multicentre randomised controlled double-blinded clinical trial.
Abstract
Background: Experimental evidence has indicated the benefit of simvastatin in the treatment of subarachnoid haemorrhage. Simvastatin is also a potent agent for reducing low-density lipoprotein (LDL). However, no clinical data are available to compare the efficacy of different dosage regimens (specifically, whether a high-dose regimen is more effective than a normal-dosage regimen) or conduct related cost-effectiveness analyses, even though the biochemical actions and related neuroprotective mechanisms are thought to be dosage-related. This gap in our knowledge of how to use statins and interpret trial results is very important, and motivated the investigators to conduct this study.
Objective: We hypothesized that eighty milligrams of simvastatin daily (high dose) over three weeks initiated within 96 hours of the ictus will reduce the incidence of delayed ischaemic deficits following subarachnoid haemorrhage when compared to 40mg of simvastatin daily (normal dose), leading to improvements in clinical outcomes and thus cost-effectiveness.
Methods: The study design is a randomised controlled double-blinded clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01077206). Two hundred and forty aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage patients (presenting within 96 hours of the ictus) from six neurosurgical centres are being recruited over three years. Primary outcome measure is Presence of delayed ischaemic deficits (DIDs). Secondary outcome measures include Modified Rankin Disability Score (mRS) at three months (favourable if 0-2) and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in terms of overall direct cost per patient and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).
Expected outcome: This will be the first study to clarify whether high-dose simvastatin is better than normal-dose simvastatin for patients with acute aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage in terms of neurological outcomes and cost-effectiveness.
General Information
Protocol title: High-dose simvastatin for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (HDS-SAH) ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01077206 (Full protocol available online) Other Study ID Number: GW005 Name and address of the funding agency: Health and Health Service Research Fund (Reference Number: 07080401), Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong Government, HKSAR, China Study protocol confirmed with grant funding body: 15 September 2009 Ethics approval of the study protocol: Joint CUHK-NTEC Clinical Research Ethics Committee, Hong Kong SAR, China
Study Investigators:
Steering Committee: Wong GK, Chan MT, Gin T, Siu DY, Leung MC Safety and data monitoring committee: Poon WS, Zee B Biostatistics: Zee B
Site investigators:
Department of Surgery, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, China: Zhu XL, Wong GK; Department of Neurosurgery, the 8th Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi, China: M Liang; Department of Neurosurgery, Sichuan Province People's Hospital, Sichuan, China: HB Tan; Department of Neurosurgery, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China: MW Lee, CK Wong; Department of Neurosurgery, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong China: TK Chan, YC Po; Department of Neurosurgery, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong China: PY Woo, KY Chan
Rationale and Background Information
Although aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) accounts for only 3-5% of strokes, its profound consequences and unique window of intervention justify its classification as a separate entity. Early aneurysm occlusion, expert endovascular neurosurgery and microsurgery, the use of oral nimodipine and neuro-intensive care are now the standards of care.1-3 Nevertheless, aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage is still associated with mortality at one month for half of all patients, and the other half are left with disability.
Experimental evidence indicates the benefit of simvastatin in the treatment of subarachnoid haemorrhage.4-15 Simvastatin is also potent in reducing LDL, with a proven safety profile. Three randomised placebo-controlled pilot trials have supported the use of statins (two with 80mg of simvastatin and one with 40mg of pravastatin) for the treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage.17-19 A systemic review has suggested that simvastatin may also reduce delayed cerebral ischaemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage,20 and another meta-analysis has recommended the routine use of statins in the care of patients with aneurysmal SAH.21 Finally, there is an ongoing multicentre, placebo-controlled phase III trial assessing the clinical benefits of treatment with 40mg of simvastatin daily [http://www.stashtrial.com/home.html].
However, no clinical data are available to compare the efficacy of different dosage regimens (specifically, whether a high-dose regimen is more effective than a normal-dosage regimen) or conduct related cost-effectiveness analyses, even though the biochemical actions and related neuroprotective mechanisms are thought to be dosage-related. This gap in our knowledge of how to use statins and interpret trial results is very important, and motivated the investigators to conduct this study.
Study Goal and Objective
The objective of the study is to determine whether a high dose of simvastatin for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage is superior to a normal dose in terms of clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness. We hypothesized that eighty milligrams of simvastatin daily (high dose) over three weeks initiated within 96 hours of the ictus will reduce the incidence of delayed ischaemic deficits following subarachnoid haemorrhage when compared to 40mg of simvastatin daily (normal dose), leading to improvements in clinical outcomes and thus cost-effectiveness.
Study Design
The study design is a multicentre randomised controlled double-blinded (participants and outcome assessors) clinical trial.
Methodology
Subjects
Inclusion criteria:
- Patients aged 18-70 years for whom the admitting neurosurgeon has a high index of suspicion of a spontaneous aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage with convincing CT scan findings.
- Any clinical grade, provided there is a reasonable prospect of survival.
- The delay from the time of the presenting ictus until randomisation and the initiation of trial medication does not exceed 96 hours.
Exclusion criteria:
- Unsalvageable patients: those with fixed and dilated pupils after resuscitation, and/or a devastating scan that preludes definitive therapy.
- Previous statin therapy.
- Current course of Warfarin-type drugs.
- Pregnancy.
- Known renal or hepatic impairment.
- Suspected or known additional disease process that threatens life expectancy (e.g. malignancy).
- Known or strong suspicion of drug abuse or alcoholism, or the likelihood of being amendable to either at the 3-month follow up.
- Current course of amiodarone, verapamil or potent CYP3A4 inhibitors.
Outcome measures and follow-up:
Primary outcome measures:
-
Presence of delayed ischaemic deficits (DIDs): a fall of two or more points on the modified Glasgow Coma Scale, new focal neurological deficit lasting more than 2 hours, new cerebral infarction or CT perfusion evidence of cerebral ischaemia unrelated to surgery/embolisation, rebleed, hydrocephalus, infection, electrolyte or metabolic disturbance.
Secondary outcome measures:
- Modified Rankin Disability Score (mRS) at three months (favourable if 0-2).
- Cost-effective analysis in terms of overall direct cost per patient and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the high-dose group versus normal-dose group, i.e., the cost difference per patient divided by the difference in the percentage of (a) favourable outcomes and (b) delayed cerebral ischaemia. Sensitivity analyses for ICER will be carried out using the percentages of favourable outcomes and delayed cerebral ischaemia.
Study description
Ethical approval has been obtained from the respective institutional review boards. The study is adhering to the international quality standards provided in the Good Clinical Practice guidelines. After informed consent from patients or their next of kin, subjects are being randomised to receive 80mg of simvastatin (two tablets of 40mg each) or 40mg of simvastatin (one tablet of 40mg and one placebo tablet) per day for 21 days orally or through a nasogastric tube.
Randomisation Once the eligibility criteria have been fulfilled, a permuted-block randomisation is carried out using a computer system with an allocation list in random order generated by a statistician not related to the project team to protect the blinding and integrity of the study. The study drug assignments are concealed within sealed envelopes. These envelopes are only opened by site study investigators not involved in the clinical management of the recruited patients. The allocation ratio is 1:1. Both the clinical team (medical and nursing) and the patients are blinded to the study drug allocation.
Sample size Assuming that the high-dose group has a 35% delayed cerebral ischaemia risk with a 20% absolute reduction in delayed cerebral ischaemia as compared to the standard dose group with a 55% delayed cerebral ischaemia, a total of 212 patients will be required (80% power and 2-sided alpha=0.05). However, further assuming a 10% loss to follow up, 236 patients will need to be recruited. The study was designed with the expectation of 30 patients ¬being recruited at each of four centres per year22-23; a total of 240 patients is thus expected to be recruited over a 24 month period. Because of delays in starting patient recruitment in some centres, two extra centres (a total of six) were initiated for patient recruitment.
Trial status
Patient recruitment will be completed in March 2013, and the last recruited patient will be due for final outcome assessment in June 2013. Data archiving, data analyses and the dissemination of study results will take place in early 2014.
Safety Considerations
Drug-related morbidities including rhabdomyolysis and hepatitis have been rare. In the two reported pilot studies, only one patient withdrew due to elevated liver parenchymal enzymes, which reversed on cessation of medication. Plasma creatinine phosphokinase (CPK), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) are being monitored for early signs of hepatitis or myositis every 7 days or on clinical suspicion. Administration of the study drug ceases if ALT/AST is more than three times the normal level of >180U/L or CPK >1,000U/L. Cholesterol levels are also monitored weekly.
Follow-Up
In addition to the laboratory tests mentioned above, the patients are followed up daily by the clinical team for any adverse events during acute admission and weekly for the first three weeks if discharged. A three-month clinical visit is arranged for outcome assessment and possible adverse event. A contact number is available for the enrolled patients for queries and suspected adverse event report.
Data Management and Statistical Analysis
Data are being collected on handwritten forms and archived in a password-protected electronic database.
We aim to perform an intention-to-treat analysis using two-sided probability, with P<0.05 considered statistically significant. Proportions with (a) DCI and (b) favourable outcomes will be compared with chi-square statistics. A sensitivity analysis for ICER will be carried out to find the limits of proportions of groups with (a) DCI and (b) favourable outcomes that show threshold values.
Planned exploratory analyses of DCI and favourable outcomes will include multivariate logistic regression using presentation SAH grade, age and the presence or absence of immediate post-procedural neurological deficits as the key covariates. Additional exploratory analyses with similar multivariate logistic regressions are planned, with the extra post-randomisation variables of the development of hydrocephalus, timing of hydrocephalus treatment and timing of aneurysm treatment.
Quality Assurance
The study conforms to the guideline of Good Clinical Practice. Data are managed in a secured computer system by a dedicated research assistants supervised by the principal investigator. The site investigators are contacted in case of doubt or uncertainty in data forms. The safety and data monitoring committee is being led by Professor Wai Sang Poon, Professor of Surgery, the Chinese University of Hong Kong. The committee is responsible for issues arising from the drugs used in the study, the interpretation of unexpected major adverse events, reviewing the study's progress and the submission of related recommendations to the study steering committee.
Expected Outcome of the Study
This will be the first study to clarify whether high-dose simvastatin is more effective than normal-dose simvastatin for patients with acute aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, in terms of neurological outcomes and cost-effectiveness. This gap in our knowledge of how to use statins and interpret trial results is very important.
Duration of Study
The initially targeted 24-month patient recruitment period has been extended to 30 months, with an additional 6 months required to complete the patient follow up and data archive. The total study period will thus be 36 months.
Project Management
The study steering committee is being led by the principal investigators. The committee is responsible for the study design, study implementation, ethics and health authority applications, protocol amendments, eventual data interpretation and the dissemination of results.
Statistical design and randomisation are being supervised by Professor Benny Zee, Division of Biostatistics, the Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, the Chinese University of Hong Kong.
The site study investigators are responsible for patient recruitment, reporting adverse events and completing the data collection.
Ethics
The study protocol was approved by the Joint CUHK-NTEC Clinical Research Ethics Committee, Hong Kong SAR, China. Ethical approval was obtained from the institutional review boards of the six neurosurgical centres. Written informed consent was obtained from eligible patients or next of kin for recruitment into the study.
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